Churchill Downs: Day 38, Friday, June 30, 2017

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William B. Bradley and Carl Hurst’s The Player will make his first start since finishing second in last year’s Indiana Derby (G2) in Friday night’s Kelly’s Landing Stakes at Churchill Downs. Photo by Coady photography

 

Churchill Downs Full-Card Downs Analysis: Friday, June 30, 2017

Churchill Downs will draw the curtain on its 2017 Spring Meeting on Friday, June 30 with the final “Downs After Dark” program featuring an 11-race card highlighted by a pair of stakes for the juveniles–the $100,000 Bashford Manor (G3) and the listed $100,000 Debutante Stakes– in addition to the $70,000 Kelly’s Landing Stakes going seven-furlongs on the main track for three-year-olds and upward.

The card features an 11-race program and offers a 23-day, $146,754 carryover in the 20-cent Single 6 Jackpot and a 1-day, $3,375 carryover in the $1 Super Hi-5. There is a mandatory payout for both wagers on the closing day of the meet. Post time for the first of 11 races is 6:00 P.M. Eastern.

The Green Sheet had one winner on Thursday’s nine-race program in Louisville but touted a $549 trifecta in the fourth race and a $245 tri in the nightcap. However, on the day, The Sheet had a negative 76 percent return on investment (ROI)* or a flat-bet loss of $1.51 cents for each two dollars wagered on its top selections on the program.

Going into the last day of the meet, The Sheet is winning at a 27 percent clip–its top selection in each race has finished in the money 62 percent of time.

For FREE full-card analysis and selections for the June 30 “Downs After Dark” program at Churchill Downs, click HERE.

*Return on investment is calculated by placing a hypothetical $2 win wager on all top selections and dividing the net profit by the total amount wagered.

 

Header image: “Walking Ring, Greentree Stable, Saratoga,” oil on panel by Vaughn Flannery (American, 1898 – 1955)

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