Churchill Downs Day 13: Thursday, November 16, 2017

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Valentin Bukhtoyarov and Evgeny Kappushev’s Polar River (at right), a Group 3 stakes winner in Dubai, will make her first start stateside in the third race at Churchill Downs on Thursday, November 16. Photo by DRC/Andrew Watkins

Churchill Downs Selections by John M. Gaver III: Thursday, November 16, 2017

A customary 10-race program is on the docket at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Ky. on Thursday, November 16 highlighted by the featured ninth on the card, a $65,000 high-end optional claiming/ second-level allowance affair for three-years-old and upward. The race has been taken off the Matt Winn Turf Course and will be contested at a mile and a sixteenth trip on the main track.

The program also has a two-day, $4,446 carryover in the $1 Super High 5.

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John Gaver III

The Green Sheet touted four winners on Wednesday’s 10-race program at Churchill and gave out a $106 trifecta in the second race on the card.

On the day, The Sheet had a positive 23 percent return on investment (ROI*), or a flat-bet profit of 46 cents for each two dollars wagered on its top selections.

12 days day into the 2017 November stand in Louisville, The Sheet is hitting at a 25 percent strike rate; its top selections have finished in the money 56 percent of the time.

For FREE annotated selections for the Thursday, November 16 program at Churchill Downs, click HERE.

*Return on investment is calculated by placing a hypothetical $2 win wager on all top selections and dividing the net profit by the total amount wagered.

Header image: “Jockeys,” by Edgar Degas (French, 1834-1917). Pastel on paper, 1886

 

 

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